June 2021 Grain Market Report

Dale Johnson, Farm Management Specialist
University of Maryland

Information from USDA WASDE report

Attached is the summary for the June 2021 WASDE.

Corn

The only change in 21/22 corn estimates was a negative adjustment of 150 million additional bushels in the Ending 20/21/Beginning 21/22 stocks. This decreased the 21/22 ending stocks 150 million bushels and increased the estimated stocks to use ratio from 10.2% in May to 9.2% in June. December futures prices on May 12 closed at $5.93. Prices through May declined to a low of $5.23 on May 26 but have since rebounded and closed at $6.15 on June 10.

Soybeans

The only change in 21/22 soybean estimates was an adjustment of 15 million additional bushels in the Ending 20/21/Beginning 21/22 stocks. This increased the 21/22 ending stocks 15 million bushels and increased the estimated stocks to use ratio from 3.2% in May to 3.5% in June. November futures prices on May 12 closed at $14.44. Prices through May declined to a low of $13.26 on May 26 but have since rebounded and closed at $14.59 on June 10.

Wheat

21/22 Wheat yield estimates were increased 0.7 bushels per acre which resulted in a 26 million bushel increase in production estimates. There was a 20 million bushel decrease in the Ending 20/21/Beginning 21/22 stocks estimate. Import estimates decreased 2 million bushel. On the demand side Feed & residual estimate was increased 10 million bushel. The net effect of all these estimate changes was a decrease of 4 million bushels in ending stock and a decrease in the stocks-to-use ratio from 36.9% in May to 36.6% in June. Nearby (July) prices on May 12 closed at $7.30. Prices through May declined to a low of $6.40 on May 26 but have since rebounded and closed at $6.83 on June 10.

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