July 2020 WASDE Report

Dale Johnson, Farm Management Specialist
University of Maryland

Information from USDA WASDE report

Attached is the summary for the July 10 WASDE published on July 10. July is the third month for estimates of the new crop year (2020/21).

Corn

Estimates of planted and harvested acres were down 5 million acres and 5.6 million acre respectively from the June estimates. Yield estimate remained unchanged so the reduction in acres brought the production estimate down 995 million bushel from the June report. Estimates for demand were reduced by 175 million bushel. These adjustments in supply and demand estimates reduced ending stocks by 657 million bushel and a stocks to use ratio of 18.1% which is considerably more bullish than the June ration of 22.5%.

Soybeans

There were incremental adjustments to soybean acres and crushings increasing ending stocks by 30 million bushel and increasing the stocks to use ratio marginally to 9.8%.

Wheat

There were incremental adjustments to wheat acres, yield, and feed & residual increasing ending stocks by 17 million bushel and increasing the stocks to use ratio marginally to 45.6%.

The July WASDE had little effect on markets as corn and soybean prices were down a few cents per bushel and wheat prices were up a few cents per bushel.

Corn Disease Update

Alyssa Koehler, Extension Field Crops Pathologist
University of Delaware

As tasseling in corn approaches, now is a good time to scout fields to decide if a fungicide will be applied. When considering the economics of a fungicide application, it is important to know your potential for disease based on field history, environmental conditions, and hybrid selection.

Many of the foliar pathogens of corn can survive in residue, so corn-on-corn fields carry a higher potential for disease, especially if disease has been observed in previous years. Hybrids with higher resistance ratings may not need a fungicide. Resistant hybrids typically have smaller lesions and reduced spread of spores. In dryland fields, hot, dry weather will keep disease pressure low. Reports of foliar diseases have been minimal so far this season. Irrigated fields keep enough moisture to favor environments for disease and may see development of Grey Leaf Spot (GLS) or possibly Northern Corn Leaf Blight (NCLB).

GLS is one of our most common diseases of corn and usually begins on lower leaves as small, tan, rectangular lesions with a yellow halo. When lesions are young, they can be difficult to distinguish from other common corn foliar diseases. As lesions mature, they become more diagnostic. At maturity, lesions are grey to tan in color, with a long rectangular shape (Figure 1); partially resistant hybrids can have more jagged margins than lesions on susceptible cultivars. Lesions often join to form large necrotic areas under favorable environmental conditions.

grey leaf spot lesions on corn leaf
Figure 1. Rectangular lesions of Grey Leaf Spot on corn.

Yield reductions are typically observed when lesions are present on the two leaves below the ear leaf or higher, so these are the leaves to pay close attention to when scouting. If over 50% of plants have lesions on 5% or more of this leaf surface, you may want to consider a fungicide application. If applying a fungicide, VT/R1 timing has shown the greatest chance of economic return.

Click here to see fungicide recommendations for corn

The Fungicide Conundrum When It’s Hot and Dry

Andrew Kness, Agriculture Agent
University of Maryland Extension, Harford County

As corn and soybeans begin to enter reproductive growth stages, foliar fungal diseases can have a serious impact on yield if growing conditions favor their development. However, with the hot and dry weather, disease pressure is low and will remain low if these weather patterns persist. Weather patterns in the Mid-Atlantic can switch rapidly and in general, fungicides need to be applied as a protectant, so spray decisions need to be made before the onset of disease. Coupled with the fact that many new fungicides on the market today are promoted to help plants cope with stresses, such as drought and heat, can complicate the decision.

I like to remind folks that fungicides are designed to do one thing—and that is to manage fungal diseases; they do this job very well. Hundreds of university trials have demonstrated that the most likely yield response and economic return occurs when fungicides are applied at the correct time and used when disease pressure is high. When disease pressure is low, yield responses sometimes occur, but are far more inconsistent than when disease is present.

There is also limited university data regarding fungicide utility to help plants manage drought stress. In the lab, strobilurin and triazole fungicides have been shown to regulate stomatal conductance and photosynthesis intensity in some corn hybrids, which improves the plants response to drought. However, when conducted at the field level, results are inconsistent and do not occur predictably. More research is needed to determine if fungicides can improve yields in drought conditions, and if so, when the application should be made. Existing studies indicate that the fungicide needs to be applied before drought stress occurs in order to stimulate the appropriate response in the plant; which again, makes spray decisions difficult without a crystal ball in hand to see into the future.

Another consideration, and perhaps the most important, is economics. While a fungicide application may provide some measurable differences in appearance and/or yield, is it enough to cover the application cost? Again, this is a tricky question to answer, but the body of research indicates that a single fungicide application in corn around VT-R1 and R1-R3 in soybean is the most likely to provide an economic return on investment when disease is present. In the absence of disease, the probability of an economic return is very low. Here are some additional factors that you should account for when considering a fungicide:

  • Crop history and tillage: Many fungal pathogens of corn and soybean are residue-borne. If growing corn-on-corn or soybeans after soybeans, those fields will be prone to higher disease risk. Conservation tillage fields are also at higher risk.
  • Irrigation: In dry years, fields that are overhead irrigated will be at higher risk of developing fungal diseases than dryland fields.
  • Disease progression: Scout your fields and see if and where fungal lesions are present on the plants. Many of the most important diseases of corn and soybean start low in the canopy and progress up the plant if environmental conditions are conducive (Fig. 1). For soybean it is critical to keep the top ⅓ of the plant clean of disease from flowering to pod fill; and for corn, it is critical to keep the ear leaf clean. If you notice fungal pathogens encroaching on these upper plant parts as they begin to flower and tassel, a fungicide application may be beneficial to protect yield.

    Grey leaf spot lesions on a corn leaf and froyeye leafspot lesions on a soybean leaf
    Figure 1. Two economically significant diseases of corn and soybeans: grey leaf spot lesions on corn (left) and frogeye leaf spot lesions on soybean (right).
  • Hybrid and variety resistance: Pay attention to your corn hybrid and soybean variety foliar disease ratings (resistance ratings are disease-specific); those that are more susceptible will have the greatest chance of an economic return on investment to a fungicide application than resistant varieties. Planting resistant varieties and hybrids is one of the most effective disease management tools.
  • Resistance management: It is generally considered bad practice to spray a fungicide when disease potential is low, as you are exposing pathogens to unnecessary chemistry, and with each exposure you drive the population towards resisting that chemical. This is why it is important to rotate modes of action and use full label rates, as cut rates can accelerate the development of resistance. The Take Action website (https://iwilltakeaction.com/) can help you choose products with differing modes of action.

The take-home message is to realize that you have the greatest chance for an economic return on your investment with a fungicide application when disease actually develops. Applying a fungicide to help plants cope with drought stress will likely not help to a degree that covers the cost of the application; as replicated field trials have yielded inconsistent and unpredictable results.

 

 

June 2020 WASDE Report

Dale Johnson, Farm Management Specialist
University of Maryland

Information from USDA WASDE report

Attached is the summary for the June 11 WASDE. June is the second month for estimates of the new crop year (2020/21).

Corn

There was a slight adjustment of an additional 5 million bushel to the 2019/20120 crop estimate which carried forward to the beginning stocks of the 2020/2021 crop year. There were no other changes to the corn estimates.The historically high ending stocks estimate of 3.3 billion bushel and stocks-to-use ratio of 22.5% continue to suppress prices. There was a slight uptick in December futures the past few days and corn settled at $3.43 per bushel on June 11.

Soybeans

Just like corn, there was a slight adjustment of an additional 5 million bushel to the 2019/20120 crop estimate which carried forward to the beginning stocks of the 2020/2021 crop year. The crushing estimate was adjusted up 15 million bushel with no other changes to the soybean estimates. The ending stocks estimate of 395 million bushel and stocks-to-use ratio of 9.1% is not bearish. New crop prices have ticked up the past few days and November soybeans settled at $8.77 per bushel on report day.

Wheat

Just like corn and soybeans, there was an adjustment of an additional 5 million bushel to the 2019/20120 crop estimate which carried forward to the beginning stocks of the 2020/2021 crop year. There were no other changes to the wheat estimates. The ending stocks of 925 million bushel and stocks-to-use ration of 44.6 is below the five year average. 2020/21 wheat prices have trended down the past few days and July 2021 soft red winter wheat settled at $5.30 on June 11.

Download the report as a pdf here: 2020 June WASDE summary

 

2020 Corn and Soybean Fungicide Recommendations

Andrew Kness, Agriculture Agent
University of Maryland Extension, Harford County

As we get into the swing of the 2020 growing season, it can be helpful to have access to a quick reference for fungicide recommendations for if/when diseases become a problem on your farm. As you are aware, there are several products available for disease management and it can be difficult and confusing to select the appropriate product. Also remember that just because a pesticide is labeled for use on a particular crop to manage a specific pest, does not necessarily mean or guarantee that the pesticide will work to manage it. Pest populations are constantly evolving and therefore develop resistance to products over time. A good example of this is the fungicide, propiconazole; once very effective for managing head scab of wheat, is now ineffective against the pathogen.

To help aid your fungicide selections, the Crop Protection Network has some great resources on fungicide efficacy that they update each year (and soon to come, insecticides and herbicides). The Crop Protection Network is a multi-state and international partnership of university and provincial Extension specialists and public and private professionals that provides unbiased, research-based information.

These publications list the relative fungicide efficacy for the major diseases of corn, soybeans, and small grains and are linked below. If you have trouble accessing or interpreting the information, feel free to contact me.

 

Early Summer Insect Scouting

Emily Zobel, Agriculture Agent Associate
University of Maryland Extension, Dorchester County

Overwintering bean leaf beetles are emerging and starting to feed. Soybean seedlings can recover, with no yield loss, from 40% defoliation. Many small caterpillars, such as the green clover worms will also defoliate plants. However, once soybean plants start to bloom, you want to control defoliating insects when you have greater than 15% defoliation.

Check for cutworm and armyworms leaf feeding on young corn plants. The threshold for cutworms is when 10% of the field has feeding damage at 1-2 leaf, and 5% damage at 3-4 leaf or 4 larvae found per 100 ft. For armyworms, the treatment threshold is when 25% of the plants are infested and larvae are under a 0.75 inch long. Armyworms that are 1.25 inches are late instars and have likely completed their feeding.

No-till fields of both corn and soybean are at an increased risk of slug damage. Slugs feed at night, so you will likely not find them during daytime scouting. Their feeding damage will be found on the lower leaves of plants. The leaf will have narrow, irregular, linear tracks or scars of various lengths that may be eaten partly or entirely through the leaf. Peter Coffey wrote a great article about slug management, which can be found here (https://blog.umd.edu/agronomynews/2018/05/03/what-should-i-do-about-slugs/) .

As wheat gets harvested during the month, stink bugs may move into nearby cornfields. Their feeding could affect the developing ear and kernels. Populations will be highest around the edge of the field, and full-field control may not be needed. Field corn treatment threshold are when 25% of plants are infested with stink bugs before pollination, and 50% of plants are infested with stink bugs are after pollination up to early dough stage. Counts should be done on 10 plants in 10 different locations in the field. Do not count beneficial stinkbugs, such as the spined soldier bug.

 

May 2020 WADE Summary

Dale Johnson, Farm Management Specialist
University of Maryland

Information from USDA WASDE report

Attached is the summary for the May 11 WASDE published on Tuesday. May is the first month for estimates of the new crop year (2020/21). To put these 2020/21 estimates into historical perspective, I have included the past 16 years in this summary spreadsheet.

Corn
Acres harvested, yield, and associated production are estimated to be at an all time high. Total use is estimated to be above the five year average. However, it is not the same magnitude as increased production so ending stocks are estimated to be an all time high of 3.3 billion bushel with an associated historically high stocks-to-use ratio of 22.4%. The next highest stocks-to-use ratio was the 2004/05 pre-ethanol year at 19.8%. This very bearish WASDE report did not move the futures market since it was anticipated and lower prices were already built into the market. December corn settled at $3.35 per bushel on report day.

Soybeans
Acres harvested, yield, and associated production are estimated to be at a five year average. Total use is estimated to be 250 million bushel above the five year average bringing ending stocks down to 405 million bushel, 80 million bushel below the five year average with a stocks-to-use ratio of 9.4% which is not bearish. However, worries about world soybean supply/demand, COVID-19, and the economy continue to suppress soybean prices and November soybeans settled at $8.55 on report day.

Wheat
Wheat production is estimated to be more than 100 million bushel below the five year average. Use is estimated to be slightly above the five year average bringing the ending stocks down to 909 million bushel, 154 million bushel  below the five year average. The associated stocks-to-use ratio is estimated at 43.8%, lower than any of the past five years. However these improved numbers had little impact on futures prices and July/21 wheat settled at $5.36 per bushel on report day.

Download the report as a pdf file here: 2020 May WASDE summary

May 2020 WASDE spreadsheet
May 2020 report. Click to enlarge.

Delayed planting: Do you need to change corn hybrid maturity?

The question as to if and when it is necessary to switch to shorter season corn hybrids has been one we have been receiving in recent weeks. Unseasonably cool and wet weather has delayed corn planting by several weeks in Maryland. Former University of Maryland Extension Agronomist, Dr. Bob Kratochvil, wrote an excellent article on this topic back in 2018 when we experienced a similar spring. To view the article, click here: https://blog.umd.edu/agronomynews/2018/05/24/delayed-corn-planting-should-you-change-hybrid-maturity/

Optimizing Drying for Hay and Haylage

Amanda Grev, Pasture & Forage Specialist
University of Maryland Extension

Along with making corn and soybean planting a challenge, spring rains make for a challenging forage harvest as well. The faster we can get our hay or haylage dry enough to bale or wrap, the more we can reduce the risk of rain damage and retain a higher quality end product. Follow these guidelines to help optimize drying time during forage harvest this spring.

The Forage Drying Process

Let’s think for a moment about the basic principles behind forage drying. When forage is cut, it is around 75 to 80% moisture but it must be dried down to 60 to 65% moisture for haylage or 14 to 18% moisture for dry hay. During this wilting and drying process, plants continue the natural process of respiration, breaking down stored sugars to create energy and carbon dioxide. The longer it takes the forage to dry, the longer the forage continues to respire in the field. Data suggests that 2 to 8% of the dry matter may be lost due to respiration, resulting in energy losses and an overall reduction in forage quality. This means that a faster drying time will not only get the forage off the field faster but will also lower the amount of dry matter and nutrients lost through respiration.

The drying process happens in several distinct phases; knowing and understanding these phases can help us manage our forage in a way that will maximize drying rates and ensure nutrient retention within the harvested forage.

Phase One: Moisture Loss via Stomatal Openings

The first phase in the drying process is moisture loss from the leaves. This happens through the stomata, which are the openings in the leaf surface that allow for moisture and gas exchange between the leaf and the outside air. These stomata are naturally open in daylight and closed in darkness. After a plant is cut, respiration continues but gradually declines until the moisture content has fallen below 60%. Rapid drying in this initial phase to lose the first 15 to 20% moisture will reduce loss of starch and sugar and preserve more dry matter and total digestible nutrients in the harvested forage.

Solar radiation is the key to maximizing drying during this initial phase. This can be accomplished by using a wide swath (at least 70% of the cut area), which will maximize the amount of forage exposed to sunlight. A wider swath will increase the swath temperature, reduce the swath humidity, and keep the stomata open to allow for moisture loss, encouraging rapid and more even drying immediately after cutting. In contrast, narrow windrows will have higher humidity and less drying, allowing respiration to continue and leading to further dry matter and nutrient losses. Research has shown that a wide swath immediately after cutting is the single most important factor in maximizing the initial drying rate and preserving digestible dry matter. A full width swath will increase the drying surface of the swath by 2.8 times, and moisture reductions from 85 to 60% can be reached in as little as 5 to 7 hours. Haylage from wide swaths has been shown to have lower respiration losses during drying, greater total digestible nutrients, and more lactic and acetic acid, improving forage quality and fermentation.

During this phase, a wide swath is more important than conditioning. Most of the respiration takes place in the leaves. While conditioning is important for drying stems, it has less impact on drying leaves and therefore will have little effect on this initial moisture loss. This means that for haylage, a wide swath may be more important than conditioning.

Phase Two: Stem Moisture Loss

The second phase in the drying process includes moisture loss from the stems in addition to the leaves. Once moisture levels have dropped to the point where plant respiration ceases, the closing of the stomata traps the remaining moisture, slowing further drying. At this stage, conditioning can help increase the drying rate because it provides openings within the plant’s structure, providing an exit path for moisture and allowing drying to continue at a faster rate. For maximum effectiveness, be sure the conditioner is adjusted properly based on the stem thickness (roughly 5% of leaves showing some bruising) and choose the best conditioner based on your forage type. For example, roller conditioners are often preferred for alfalfa due to reduced leaf loss.

Phase Three: Loss of Tightly Held Water

The final phase of the drying process is the loss of tightly held water, particularly from the stems. Stems generally have a lower surface to volume ratio, fewer stomata, and a semi-impervious waxy cuticle that minimizes water loss so conditioning is critical to enhance drying during this phase.

Additional Factors

In addition swath width and conditioning, several other strategies can be used to improve drying time. Be sure to cut forages at the proper height, leaving 2 to 3 inches for alfalfa and 4 inches for cool-season grasses. Not only will this result in improved stand persistence, earlier regrowth, and sooner subsequent cuttings, but the stubble will help to elevate the swath and promote air flow and rapid drying. If possible, mow hay earlier in the day, preferably mid- to late-morning after the dew has dried off. This will allow for a full day of drying right away, maximizing exposure to sunlight and resulting in a faster drop in moisture and reduced respiration. And finally, raking should occur when the forage is above 40% moisture. Raking the forage while it is still pliable helps to reduce leaf loss and maintain forage quality. Adjust the rake to minimize the amount of tines touching the ground to avoid soil contamination.

In conclusion, cutting in the morning and using wide swaths to take advantage of sunlight is key to both faster drying and preserving digestible dry matter. Remember, a wide swath enhances leaf drying while conditioning expedites stem drying; both are needed to make high quality hay.

Fusarium Head Blight Risk: April 26, 2020

Dr. Nidhi Rawat, Small Grains Pathologist
University of Maryland, College Park

Wheat in the Eastern Shore of Maryland has started booting and should be heading out soon. Barley is already flowering there. Note that barley does not show any yellow anthers at flowering and is prone to FHB as soon as it heads out of the boots. Wheat is considered to be at flowering when at least 50% of the heads of a field are beginning to show yellow anthers. With the recent rains FHB risk has increased to moderate/high level in the lower eastern shore counties. Growers here should keep an eye on the FHB risk in the coming days, as wheat heads and flowers here in coming weeks. Fungicides Prosaro, Caramba and Miravis-Ace should be effective in minimizing damage due to FHB in wheat, when applied at flowering. Strobilurin containing fungicides should not be applied now, as they might increase the chances of DON content in the grains. So far, no major concern from other diseases like powdery mildew or rusts has been seen in wheat in the state. Some low intensity incidences of tan spot were observed, which the FHB fungicides applied at flowering should be able to tackle. Up in the northern part of the state wheat is at second node to flag leaf stage, predictably around 2-3 weeks away from flowering.

FHB map of Maryland showing low to moderate risk of head scab
Figure 1. Fusarium head blight risk to susceptible wheat varieties on April 26, 2020.

 Let me know if you have any questions or concerns (nidhirwt@umd.edu).